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Red144
1001120.4
233861.9
402064.6
Blue169
278347.0
402860.6
711114.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170130100150200144169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+21
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +16
16Coral scored#14
56Coral points52
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
12Processor points24
16Net points24
28Algae points48
84Total teleop100
Reef
11L4#10
5L3#5
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +25
2Foul points6
144Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.2
65.164.9
Auto18.3
Teleop38.4
End7.9
red by 4.1
60.61.1
59.260.2
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End6.4
Second
61.90.2
62.362.1
Auto21.3
Teleop31.1
End9.5
red by 14.9
47.01.1
45.646.7
Auto11.7
Teleop26.3
End9.0
Third
20.40.2
20.820.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End1.7
red by 6.3
7111
#36
14.11.1
12.713.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7