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Red112
14432.5
346825.9
426527.5
Blue90
742837.5
32542.4
74413.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310440608012014016011290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+2
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
56Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +22
24Foul points0
112Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#20
32.50.0
33.033.0
Auto4.4
Teleop20.6
End7.5
blue by 9.9
325
#9
42.40.1
42.542.4
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End4.7
Second
4265
#37
27.50.0
28.128.1
Auto6.5
Teleop19.3
End1.7
blue by 9.9
37.50.1
37.537.5
Auto8.0
Teleop23.6
End5.8
Third
3468
#21
25.90.0
26.526.5
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
red by 12.4
744
#28
13.50.1
13.613.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.3