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Red157
278347.0
402860.6
711114.1
Blue96
382429.3
651731.1
396630.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12898608012014016018015796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+51Teleop
+63Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points14
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +41
23Coral scored#13
83Coral points48
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
101Total teleop60
Reef
12L4#6
9L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points2
157Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.61.1
56.958.1
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End6.4
red by 29.5
6517
#26
31.10.1
31.231.2
Auto6.2
Teleop20.2
End4.7
Second
47.01.1
43.444.5
Auto11.7
Teleop26.3
End9.0
red by 16.4
3966
#10
30.60.1
30.730.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.2
End2.2
Third
7111
#36
14.11.1
10.411.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
blue by 15.2
3824
#15
29.30.1
29.429.5
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End5.5