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Red116
363035.0
222037.8
395921.9
Blue109
305831.8
4827.4
314025.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99906080120140116109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+13Teleop
+1Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave3
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points10
33Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
73Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +7
6Foul points0
116Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#11
37.80.5
36.436.9
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End1.0
red by 6.0
31.80.7
31.231.9
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End4.0
Second
35.00.5
33.634.1
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End4.8
red by 7.6
48
#24
27.40.7
26.827.5
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End2.6
Third
3959
#41
21.90.5
20.621.1
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.5
blue by 3.8
3140
#22
25.70.6
25.225.8
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End1.3