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Red135
14432.5
346825.9
426527.5
Blue103
250226.1
103825.2
707225.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9587406080120140160135103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+30Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
17Coral scored#10
62Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
98Total teleop65
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +32
8Foul points6
135Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#20
32.50.8
31.632.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.6
End7.5
red by 6.4
2502
#17
26.10.1
25.926.1
Auto7.0
Teleop14.6
End4.5
Second
4265
#37
27.50.8
26.727.4
Auto6.5
Teleop19.3
End1.7
red by 2.2
7072
#16
25.30.1
25.225.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End7.1
Third
3468
#21
25.90.8
25.125.8
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
red by 0.7
25.20.1
25.125.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.4