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Red85
382429.3
651731.1
396630.6
Blue91
305831.8
4827.4
314025.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999260801201408591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +25
10Coral scored#16
35Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
51Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
85Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6517
#26
31.10.2
31.231.1
Auto6.2
Teleop20.2
End4.7
blue by 0.7
31.80.2
31.932.1
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End4.0
Second
3966
#10
30.60.2
30.830.6
Auto9.2
Teleop19.2
End2.2
red by 3.2
48
#24
27.40.2
27.527.7
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End2.6
Third
3824
#15
29.30.2
29.529.3
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End5.5
red by 3.6
3140
#22
25.70.1
25.826.0
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End1.3