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Red152
1001120.4
233861.9
402064.6
Blue99
742837.5
32542.4
74413.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1751005015020025015299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+33Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points17
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
69Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +53
6Foul points6
152Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.1
65.165.1
Auto18.3
Teleop38.4
End7.9
red by 22.3
325
#9
42.40.0
42.442.4
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End4.7
Second
61.90.1
62.462.3
Auto21.3
Teleop31.1
End9.5
red by 24.4
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto8.0
Teleop23.6
End5.8
Third
20.40.1
20.920.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End1.7
red by 6.9
744
#28
13.50.0
13.513.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.3