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Red167
278347.0
402860.6
711114.1
Blue120
363035.0
222037.8
395921.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131976080120140160180200167120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+33Teleop
+43Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points17
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +15
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
91Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#5
4L3#5
4L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +47
6Foul points2
167Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.61.1
58.159.2
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End6.4
red by 22.8
2220
#11
37.80.6
36.937.5
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End1.0
Second
47.01.1
44.545.6
Auto11.7
Teleop26.3
End9.0
red by 12.0
35.00.6
34.134.7
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End4.8
Third
7111
#36
14.11.1
11.612.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
blue by 7.9
3959
#41
21.90.6
21.121.6
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.5