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Red223
478857.9
654855.2
439185.6
Blue140
45858.9
263745.8
634059.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19910850150250300223140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+83Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points31
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +76
33Coral scored#15
117Coral points55
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
18Processor points12
28Net points20
46Algae points32
163Total teleop87
Reef
12L4#10
11L3#4
10L2#3
8L1 · trough#4
51Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
223Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.61.8
79.180.9
Auto16.5
Teleop59.2
End9.9
red by 25.9
6340
#25
59.71.2
53.855.0
Auto10.9
Teleop39.4
End9.4
Second
4788
#27
57.92.0
40.442.4
Auto6.3
Teleop45.1
End6.6
red by 12.1
2637
#42
45.81.2
41.142.3
Auto11.5
Teleop28.9
End5.4
Third
6548
#34
55.21.8
55.757.5
Auto15.3
Teleop37.7
End2.2
red by 46.3
4585
#70
8.91.4
8.39.7
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned