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Red151
529839.9
38652.5
521669.9
Blue137
151156.1
635848.9
1046631.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177116100150200250151137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+26Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
8Coral scored#3
40Coral points17
40Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
16Coral scored#19
57Coral points70
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
18Processor points12
28Net points12
46Algae points24
103Total teleop94
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#7
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
8Cage & park20
8Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
151Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#50
69.91.3
73.872.5
Auto17.7
Teleop48.6
End3.5
red by 13.7
1511
#44
56.10.9
47.148.0
Auto7.2
Teleop37.3
End11.7
Second
386
#45
52.51.3
53.151.8
Auto10.4
Teleop34.4
End7.8
red by 3.7
6358
#40
48.91.2
38.339.5
Auto8.5
Teleop37.7
End2.7
Third
5298
#33
39.91.3
32.331.0
Auto7.0
Teleop30.1
End2.8
red by 8.4
31.51.3
26.928.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned