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Red223
804479.2
313251.0
210665.8
Blue163
162962.9
414364.5
260142.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18115750100200250300223163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+60Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
10Coral scored#4
48Coral points20
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +32
28Coral scored#27
100Coral points96
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
24Processor points12
32Net points16
56Algae points28
156Total teleop124
Reef
13L4#13
11L3#6
7L2#8
7L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
223Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.22.8
66.669.4
Auto15.8
Teleop54.5
End9.0
red by 14.7
4143
#26
64.50.2
56.256.4
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End7.3
Second
2106
#10
65.82.8
61.464.2
Auto17.8
Teleop39.1
End8.9
red by 2.9
1629
#41
62.90.2
63.163.3
Auto18.8
Teleop40.5
End3.7
Third
3132
#58
51.03.1
42.045.1
Auto9.6
Teleop36.7
End4.6
red by 8.6
2601
#56
42.30.2
29.429.6
Auto8.9
Teleop31.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned