1511Rolling Thunder
Penfield, New York, USA
#415 of 3687 · 19-19 · 50% win rate
Finger Lakes Regional
Mar 12 – 15, 2025
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 1 | 814015111559 | 82431518340 | 79–80 | 55% | 53–155 |
| Qual 16 | 37994611564 | 151171655881 | 90–85 | 61% | 108–90 |
| Qual 22 | 461131811511 | 159196439622 | 101–83 | 79% | 92–79 |
| Qual 30 | 395115113004 | 234022283838 | 70–91 | 83% | 79–95 |
| Qual 44 | 31736868695 | 158530441511 | 124–76 | 99% | 174–114 |
| Qual 52 | 1911511639 | 300415857165 | 116–74 | 97% | 136–60 |
| Qual 59 | 15115781405 | 178731718393 | 97–102 | 59% | 102–109 |
| Qual 65 | 55904241511 | 6392791250 | 111–94 | 80% | 86–40 |
| Qual 73 | 2026147903 | 1511250378 | 100–95 | 62% | 120–79 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Match 2 | 19115111591 | 63922283044 | 133–135 | 53% | 159–144 |
| Match 7 | 301515183173 | 19115111591 | 162–135 | 89% | 193–121 |
| Match 9 | 19115111591 | 3003201787 | 132–134 | 52% | 170–157 |
| Match 12 | 63922283044 | 19115111591 | 137–138 | 53% | 169–110 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 2 | 225230153484 | 15116959194 | 130–114 | 85% | 139–149 |
| Qual 10 | 788546111511 | 29114053193 | 132–99 | 84% | 141–92 |
| Qual 20 | 871322521787 | 29161811511 | 126–95 | 81% | 175–104 |
| Qual 30 | 822217872228 | 4815114085 | 138–102 | 92% | 167–137 |
| Qual 38 | 77178718291 | 151157409622 | 75–118 | 96% | 66–128 |
| Qual 52 | 824315115413 | 460131732603 | 117–144 | 74% | 117–163 |
| Qual 58 | 822269641511 | 541397679653 | 107–70 | 89% | 109–51 |
| Qual 68 | 151181459139 | 1559426910303 | 87–106 | 74% | 99–105 |
| Qual 77 | 677618110207 | 151181409545 | 98–80 | 71% | 84–89 |
| Qual 86 | 814582438140 | 414596431511 | 90–137 | 93% | 112–139 |
| Qual 94 | 405087138393 | 3954151110208 | 103–120 | 74% | 65–96 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Match 2 | 499122285740 | 239915112603 | 168–151 | 74% | 197–189 |
| Match 5 | 4861818713 | 239915112603 | 116–153 | 90% | 82–184 |
| Match 10 | 225241211405 | 239915112603 | 146–149 | 55% | 152–206 |
| Match 12 | 260315112399 | 69517871559 | 155–171 | 67% | 160–187 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 2 | 52983865216 | 1511635810466 | 169–124 | 96% | 151–137 |
| Qual 18 | 119715111727 | 83617328044 | 195–213 | 73% | 197–239 |
| Qual 30 | 636917011511 | 458594082106 | 218–160 | 95% | 249–154 |
| Qual 38 | 65487669126 | 260115114329 | 165–141 | 66% | 102–163 |
| Qual 62 | 42701179583 | 1511100792338 | 155–197 | 88% | 166–253 |
| Qual 74 | 551616294 | 36201171511 | 164–180 | 67% | 191–208 |
| Qual 84 | 721115114146 | 945911972637 | 174–183 | 59% | 145–184 |
| Qual 94 | 752240285951 | 313238801511 | 209–154 | 95% | 225–157 |
| Qual 102 | 151126385951 | 25909874146 | 196–175 | 74% | 185–186 |
| Qual 115 | 293511141511 | 923447889576 | 212–168 | 85% | 173–145 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Match 4 | 151111976369 | 111420521701 | 254–249 | 58% | 236–245 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 1 | 383815071405 | 318137991511 | 147–115 | 72% | 97–86 |
| Qual 4 | 493015071126 | 1511102233173 | 135–168 | 77% | 104–122 |
| Qual 7 | 1022315181405 | 42430151511 | 98–168 | 93% | 95–127 |
| Qual 9 | 301511263181 | 49301911511 | 121–135 | 55% | 111–115 |
| Qual 11 | 112614053173 | 19115111518 | 153–136 | 70% | 150–139 |
| Qual 14 | 379949303181 | 15114241126 | 71–119 | 91% | 43–93 |
| Qual 15 | 31733799191 | 150715111518 | 151–153 | 54% | 120–149 |
| Qual 19 | 151138383015 | 151811263799 | 138–77 | 97% | 137–112 |
| Qual 20 | 31734243838 | 140515114930 | 127–117 | 60% | 146–122 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Match 2 | 151131733181 | 14054241126 | 151–107 | 89% | 166–157 |
| Match 3 | 379930151507 | 151131733181 | 152–154 | 54% | 91–168 |
| Finals | |||||
| Final 1 | 151131733181 | 379930151507 | 153–151 | 54% | 138–121 |
| Final 2 | 151131733181 | 379930151507 | 152–150 | 54% | 185–135 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 2 | 3406391511 | 493068683003 | 166–107 | 95% | 166–113 |
| Qual 9 | 30151511424 | 559023402228 | 156–117 | 89% | 160–90 |
| Qual 13 | 3173301510223 | 205311261511 | 160–123 | 83% | 143–91 |
| Qual 19 | 151115594930 | 37993789997 | 106–63 | 91% | 91–61 |
| Qual 22 | 155955903951 | 317315119991 | 76–144 | 98% | 39–148 |
| Qual 27 | 150755901511 | 15915781126 | 133–101 | 86% | 112–105 |
| Qual 33 | 151115181591 | 14059991639 | 134–95 | 89% | 153–104 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Match 4 | 159120531511 | 15183003639 | 141–104 | 90% | 139–96 |
| Match 8 | 39513401507 | 159120531511 | 152–145 | 54% | 131–131 |
| Match 11 | 3015102233173 | 159120531511 | 165–142 | 78% | 198–71 |
| Match 13 | 159120531511 | 2228378191 | 142–150 | 59% | 137–146 |
