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Red86
559025.1
42438.4
151133.4
Blue40
63938.5
279119.1
25013.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114914060801001401608640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+24Teleop
+38Endgame
+46Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
10Coral scored#6
35Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
49Total teleop25
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#1
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#8
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
8Foul points0
86Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
424
#5
38.42.2
41.539.4
Auto7.2
Teleop24.9
End6.4
blue by 0.1
639
#18
38.54.9
39.034.2
Auto4.7
Teleop28.3
End5.5
Second
1511
#37
33.42.2
33.931.7
Auto3.9
Teleop24.2
End5.3
red by 14.3
2791
#48
19.14.9
25.921.1
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End0.4
Third
5590
#26
25.12.3
23.421.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.3
red by 11.1
250
#52
13.94.5
18.714.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed