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Red118
318117.0
261444.4
37835.4
Blue227
317361.8
301565.9
461161.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9619250150250118227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+79
Endgame+99
Fouls+109
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave0
3Coral scored#10
17Coral points51
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +51
17Coral scored#27
61Coral points98
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
89Total teleop140
Reef
7L4#17
6L3#10
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +109
2Foul points12
118Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#12
44.40.4
42.843.2
Auto10.7
Teleop28.9
End4.8
blue by 21.5
65.92.1
62.764.7
Auto15.8
Teleop40.4
End9.7
Second
378
#29
35.40.4
35.235.7
Auto6.4
Teleop26.1
End2.9
blue by 26.5
61.83.2
55.859.0
Auto16.4
Teleop37.0
End8.4
Third
3181
#39
17.00.4
17.017.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.7
End0.7
blue by 44.1
61.13.2
49.152.3
Auto15.6
Teleop39.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned