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Red85
395122.0
178747.1
57813.6
Blue92
588115.0
2045.5
964311.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1057640601201401608592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+7
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
53Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points12
85Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#28
47.10.7
50.449.7
Auto10.4
Teleop29.1
End7.6
red by 1.6
20
#9
45.51.0
40.541.5
Auto5.2
Teleop32.5
End7.7
Second
3951
#22
22.00.6
24.423.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.2
End5.1
red by 7.1
5881
#43
15.01.0
18.219.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Third
578
#46
13.60.7
16.215.5
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End3.2
red by 2.5
9643
#38
11.11.0
11.912.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsEarned