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Red120
159143.5
201031.2
130823.2
Blue117
691129.4
151826.0
150748.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910890100120130120117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
14Coral scored#16
50Coral points56
4Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
24Processor points24
16Net points24
40Algae points48
90Total teleop104
Reef
4L4#8
7L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
120Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#32
43.52.4
38.741.1
Auto10.6
Teleop31.3
End1.5
blue by 4.8
1507
#19
48.22.1
43.946.0
Auto8.6
Teleop30.7
End8.9
Second
2010
#16
31.22.6
29.732.3
Auto6.9
Teleop21.8
End2.5
red by 1.8
6911
#51
29.41.4
23.524.9
Auto3.7
Teleop23.5
End2.2
Third
1308
#45
23.22.4
22.524.9
Auto4.0
Teleop18.1
End1.1
blue by 2.8
1518
#34
26.02.1
23.825.9
Auto4.5
Teleop20.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed