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Red112
112625.6
2299.4
300337.6
Blue99
225241.1
839322.0
493021.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759620406012014016011299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+13
Endgame+1
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave9
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +11
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
73Total teleop62
Reef
8L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
14Foul points0
112Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#14
37.61.8
34.536.3
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.7
blue by 3.5
2252
#33
41.10.3
37.037.3
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.7
Second
1126
#24
25.61.9
23.925.8
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.6
red by 3.6
8393
#21
22.00.2
23.523.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End0.9
Third
229
#49
9.41.8
11.813.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End1.3
blue by 12.3
4930
#42
21.70.2
24.124.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed