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Red88
53323.5
379920.5
140545.3
Blue86
27124.5
158518.2
222845.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86100501508886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+8
+4Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +9
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points38
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
6Processor points0
12Net points16
18Algae points16
63Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#6
2L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points2
88Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.2
40.240.1
Auto8.4
Teleop30.9
End6.0
blue by 0.5
45.81.5
44.142.6
Auto12.8
Teleop26.4
End6.6
Second
533
#23
23.50.2
19.319.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End4.0
blue by 1.0
271
#50
24.51.5
24.523.0
Auto4.6
Teleop18.2
End1.7
Third
3799
#25
20.50.2
19.319.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End2.5
red by 2.4
1585
#41
18.21.5
18.116.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed