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Red120
19149.0
824322.0
686836.4
Blue71
56416.7
234020.4
317121.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11655010015020012071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+45Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave9
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points8
33Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +29
14Coral scored#11
49Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
81Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
120Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#6
49.01.6
41.442.9
Auto14.6
Teleop29.2
End5.1
red by 27.6
3171
#44
21.31.2
22.824.0
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End0.2
Second
6868
#20
36.41.7
35.537.1
Auto5.3
Teleop29.4
End1.8
red by 16.1
2340
#31
20.41.2
17.718.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End2.6
Third
8243
#30
22.01.7
22.223.9
Auto5.8
Teleop14.6
End1.5
red by 5.2
564
#53
16.71.2
14.115.2
Auto3.2
Teleop12.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed