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Red84
67728.5
618125.5
1020723.8
Blue89
151147.1
814021.2
954512.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101770501502008489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +16
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
45Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
8Foul points0
84Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
677
#30
28.51.4
30.929.6
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End4.9
blue by 18.5
47.10.5
43.143.6
Auto6.3
Teleop31.6
End9.2
Second
6181
#10
25.52.0
29.627.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End7.0
red by 4.3
8140
#43
21.20.5
19.219.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End3.4
Third
23.81.4
24.923.5
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End1.8
red by 11.8
9545
#48
12.00.5
8.08.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned