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Red144
574050.3
919421.5
239953.2
Blue160
326030.6
178763.5
839327.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13912850100150200250144160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points25
30Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +14
14Coral scored#23
50Coral points84
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
88Total teleop102
Reef
6L4#11
6L3#6
3L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
144Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#11
53.21.3
48.249.5
Auto9.9
Teleop35.4
End7.9
blue by 10.3
63.52.8
58.160.9
Auto13.7
Teleop38.6
End11.2
Second
50.31.3
48.449.6
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End9.1
red by 19.7
3260
#47
30.62.8
28.731.4
Auto6.0
Teleop18.0
End6.7
Third
9194
#46
21.51.3
22.423.6
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.8
blue by 6.3
8393
#41
27.82.8
26.729.5
Auto6.2
Teleop20.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned