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Red116
962221.1
541326.0
771723.4
Blue212
69573.8
4841.2
871328.3
3%Model gave it97%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75162050100200250300116212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+76
Endgame+96
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave3
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +48
20Coral scored#26
71Coral points95
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#5
12Processor points24
8Net points20
20Algae points44
91Total teleop139
Reef
9L4#12
5L3#7
5L2#8
2L1 · trough#6
25Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +96
0Foul points0
116Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#40
26.01.0
26.127.1
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End6.2
blue by 47.7
695
#15
73.83.0
67.970.9
Auto19.2
Teleop47.1
End7.5
Second
7717
#50
23.41.5
22.423.9
Auto2.7
Teleop18.3
End2.3
blue by 17.8
48
#24
41.23.0
39.642.6
Auto7.2
Teleop26.9
End7.1
Third
9622
#28
21.11.0
22.523.5
Auto2.5
Teleop15.3
End3.3
blue by 7.2
8713
#13
28.34.3
27.732.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned