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Red78
716529.2
824333.2
964311.3
Blue64
965313.2
29126.0
301560.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761420501002007864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
62Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
78Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8243
#21
33.20.1
31.631.7
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End3.3
blue by 27.0
3015
#22
60.23.4
64.861.5
Auto14.0
Teleop36.2
End9.9
Second
7165
#26
29.20.1
28.028.1
Auto4.4
Teleop23.8
End1.0
red by 3.2
291
#49
26.04.9
28.423.6
Auto2.1
Teleop23.3
End0.6
Third
9643
#35
11.30.1
10.710.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 2.0
9653
#29
13.24.9
18.113.3
Auto2.3
Teleop7.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned