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Red124
913913.5
260344.6
412139.4
Blue75
822220.6
130830.9
1058214.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128005015020025012475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+37Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
15Coral scored#9
53Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
85Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
124Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#16
44.61.9
40.142.0
Auto8.6
Teleop28.1
End7.9
red by 13.7
1308
#17
30.90.3
31.731.4
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.4
Second
39.41.9
38.840.7
Auto8.8
Teleop22.9
End7.7
red by 18.8
8222
#18
20.60.3
20.820.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End7.0
Third
9139
#54
13.52.8
10.313.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.5
blue by 1.0
14.50.3
15.214.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned