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Red160
301561.0
151148.6
42437.1
Blue90
559015.5
234014.6
222854.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1631105010015020025016090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+70Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
19Coral scored#14
67Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
18Processor points6
32Net points8
50Algae points14
117Total teleop65
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#3
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
160Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.4
57.257.6
Auto18.3
Teleop36.8
End5.9
red by 6.3
54.71.5
60.158.6
Auto12.5
Teleop35.1
End7.0
Second
48.60.4
51.251.6
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End8.7
red by 33.1
5590
#28
15.52.0
22.920.9
Auto3.0
Teleop11.1
End1.3
Third
424
#12
37.10.4
34.234.6
Auto4.3
Teleop28.0
End4.8
red by 22.5
2340
#21
14.61.9
18.616.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned