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Red77
99979.7
140546.0
318121.6
Blue64
37834.6
1022321.8
999115.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81690501001502007764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+5Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +4
7Coral scored#7
25Coral points25
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
12Processor points12
8Net points4
20Algae points16
45Total teleop41
Reef
5L4#4
1L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
16Cage & park8
16Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
77Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#22
46.00.1
44.244.2
Auto8.9
Teleop31.1
End6.0
red by 11.4
378
#16
34.60.4
32.932.6
Auto5.9
Teleop25.2
End3.5
Second
21.60.1
18.017.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End0.8
blue by 0.1
21.80.2
19.819.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.4
Third
9997
#24
9.70.2
11.010.8
Auto2.5
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 6.1
9991
#26
15.80.4
8.98.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed