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Red116
150753.0
155925.6
159149.7
Blue88
395117.6
34061.1
379917.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471145010020011688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave9
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points23
27Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +35
16Coral scored#10
57Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
85Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
116Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.01.1
55.254.0
Auto10.5
Teleop35.0
End7.6
blue by 8.0
340
#5
61.10.9
64.063.1
Auto16.5
Teleop36.9
End7.6
Second
49.71.1
44.042.9
Auto14.2
Teleop31.5
End4.0
red by 31.9
3799
#23
17.80.9
17.716.8
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End4.4
Third
1559
#11
25.61.1
31.029.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End5.3
red by 8.0
3951
#20
17.61.1
17.416.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsMissed