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Red112
814524.0
824333.2
814021.2
Blue139
414564.9
964311.3
151147.1
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81145050100200112139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +10
16Coral scored#13
58Coral points46
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#4
12Processor points30
12Net points16
24Algae points46
82Total teleop92
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
2Foul points0
112Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8243
#21
33.21.5
31.733.2
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End3.3
blue by 31.7
64.90.4
64.364.8
Auto18.1
Teleop41.2
End5.6
Second
8145
#44
24.01.5
22.624.0
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End4.0
blue by 23.0
47.10.4
43.644.0
Auto6.3
Teleop31.6
End9.2
Third
8140
#43
21.21.5
19.721.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End3.4
red by 9.9
9643
#35
11.30.4
10.811.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned