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Red146
317372.0
42436.2
383820.7
Blue122
140546.2
151151.3
493018.4
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129115050100150200146122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+12Teleop
+32Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points18
26Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +13
20Coral scored#17
72Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
94Total teleop81
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#25
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points8
146Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.01.9
69.371.2
Auto16.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
red by 20.8
51.30.3
50.250.4
Auto6.8
Teleop35.1
End9.4
Second
424
#7
36.21.9
30.532.4
Auto4.4
Teleop26.9
End4.9
blue by 10.1
46.20.3
42.242.5
Auto9.0
Teleop30.7
End6.6
Third
20.71.9
17.919.8
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End6.1
red by 2.3
4930
#14
18.40.3
17.818.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsMissed