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Red108
379920.5
461161.1
56416.7
Blue90
151133.4
716527.5
588115.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9084406010012014010890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
6Processor points12
24Net points20
30Algae points32
75Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
108Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.12.4
36.138.5
Auto15.6
Teleop39.8
End5.7
red by 27.7
1511
#37
33.40.8
23.724.5
Auto3.9
Teleop24.2
End5.3
Second
3799
#25
20.52.4
20.923.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End2.5
blue by 6.9
7165
#40
27.50.8
28.829.6
Auto4.6
Teleop20.2
End2.7
Third
564
#53
16.72.4
18.621.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.6
End0.8
red by 1.8
5881
#43
15.00.8
19.520.2
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed