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Red61
130823.2
962214.9
691129.4
Blue103
1022326.9
839322.0
19149.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747540608010012061103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+20
Endgame+26
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave0
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points33
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points34
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
6Processor points0
16Net points12
22Algae points12
50Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
2Foul points18
61Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
#51
29.41.8
25.724.0
Auto3.7
Teleop23.5
End2.2
blue by 19.6
191
#6
49.01.8
24.226.0
Auto14.6
Teleop29.2
End5.1
Second
1308
#45
23.22.4
19.517.0
Auto4.0
Teleop18.1
End1.1
blue by 3.7
26.97.2
26.919.6
Auto5.9
Teleop15.0
End6.0
Third
9622
#47
14.92.4
20.818.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End1.0
blue by 7.1
8393
#21
22.01.8
20.522.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned