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Red131
395117.6
34061.1
150753.0
Blue131
159149.7
205327.1
151148.6
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153144050100200250300350400131131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +16
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points58
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
92Total teleop76
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#8
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points12
131Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#5
61.10.0
60.760.7
Auto16.5
Teleop36.9
End7.6
red by 11.4
49.70.2
50.950.7
Auto14.2
Teleop31.5
End4.0
Second
53.00.0
52.752.7
Auto10.5
Teleop35.0
End7.6
red by 4.5
48.60.2
49.849.6
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End8.7
Third
3951
#20
17.60.0
17.317.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End5.6
blue by 9.5
2053
#17
27.10.2
28.328.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.2
End0.1