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Red53
814012.5
151133.4
155924.2
Blue155
824322.0
151826.0
34060.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78806010012014053155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+30
Teleop+84
Endgame+84
Fouls+102
AutonomousBlue +30
0Leave0
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points33
3Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +54
6Coral scored#18
22Coral points64
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
36Total teleop90
Reef
3L4#10
1L3#6
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +102
0Foul points18
53Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#37
33.43.0
26.723.7
Auto3.9
Teleop24.2
End5.3
blue by 27.2
340
#2
60.76.2
30.336.5
Auto18.1
Teleop34.7
End7.9
Second
1559
#17
24.23.0
24.021.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End5.3
blue by 1.7
1518
#34
26.06.2
18.925.1
Auto4.5
Teleop20.3
End1.2
Third
8140
#36
12.53.0
18.115.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End3.3
blue by 9.5
8243
#30
22.06.2
21.027.2
Auto5.8
Teleop14.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned