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Red41
300416.7
493021.7
662126.9
Blue59
318117.0
2045.5
53323.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions619002040801001201401604159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
10Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +33
4Coral scored#8
13Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
17Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
2Foul points2
41Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6621
#15
26.91.9
20.818.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.7
End4.1
blue by 18.5
20
#9
45.52.1
28.926.8
Auto5.2
Teleop32.5
End7.7
Second
4930
#42
21.71.9
21.619.7
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End1.7
blue by 1.8
533
#23
23.52.1
21.419.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End4.0
Third
3004
#35DQ
16.71.9
13.912.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 0.2
3181
#39
17.02.1
25.723.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed