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Red97
383820.7
150755.6
140546.2
Blue86
318119.3
379919.0
151151.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1531090502002503009786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
51Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
97Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.62.4
65.663.2
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End7.8
red by 4.4
51.31.1
56.155.1
Auto6.8
Teleop35.1
End9.4
Second
46.22.4
49.146.6
Auto9.0
Teleop30.7
End6.6
red by 26.9
3181
#11
19.31.1
25.124.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.7
Third
20.73.5
19.015.5
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End6.1
red by 1.6
19.01.4
20.519.1
Auto2.9
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned