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Red159
19149.0
151133.4
159143.5
Blue144
63938.5
222845.8
304448.5
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13313580100120160180159144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+1Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
30Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +5
21Coral scored#19
75Coral points68
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#3
18Processor points24
16Net points12
34Algae points36
109Total teleop104
Reef
11L4#12
6L3#7
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#33
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
159Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#6
49.01.2
47.048.2
Auto14.6
Teleop29.2
End5.1
red by 0.5
3044
#11
48.50.7
44.945.6
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End2.7
Second
1591
#32
43.51.2
41.542.7
Auto10.6
Teleop31.3
End1.5
blue by 2.3
45.80.7
42.242.9
Auto12.8
Teleop26.4
End6.6
Third
1511
#37
33.41.2
31.532.6
Auto3.9
Teleop24.2
End5.3
blue by 5.1
639
#18
38.50.7
34.735.4
Auto4.7
Teleop28.3
End5.5