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Red172
301565.9
151826.0
317361.8
Blue125
225241.1
686836.4
261444.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168135100120160180200220172125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+31Teleop
+53Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points37
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +49
20Coral scored#18
73Coral points66
3Processor algae#0
9Net algae#3
18Processor points0
36Net points12
54Algae points12
127Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#6
7L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#28
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points6
172Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.5
64.665.1
Auto15.8
Teleop40.4
End9.7
red by 21.5
2614
#12
44.40.2
45.545.3
Auto10.7
Teleop28.9
End4.8
Second
61.80.7
60.160.8
Auto16.4
Teleop37.0
End8.4
red by 20.8
2252
#33
41.10.2
42.342.0
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.7
Third
1518
#34
26.00.7
24.224.9
Auto4.5
Teleop20.3
End1.2
blue by 10.5
6868
#20
36.40.2
37.637.4
Auto5.3
Teleop29.4
End1.8