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Red97
56416.7
304448.5
27124.5
Blue114
383819.0
301565.9
112625.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8912740608010014016018097114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
Endgame+11
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
20Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
71Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points6
97Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#11
48.51.5
43.444.9
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End2.7
blue by 17.4
65.90.1
64.764.6
Auto15.8
Teleop40.4
End9.7
Second
271
#50
24.51.5
23.024.5
Auto4.6
Teleop18.2
End1.7
blue by 1.1
1126
#24
25.60.2
25.825.6
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.6
Third
564
#53
16.71.5
15.216.7
Auto3.2
Teleop12.6
End0.8
blue by 2.3
3838
#27
19.00.2
19.219.0
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned