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Red78
379920.5
234020.4
691129.4
Blue36
317121.3
814012.5
493021.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706640506080901007836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +34
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
52Total teleop18
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
78Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
#51
29.41.0
24.925.9
Auto3.7
Teleop23.5
End2.2
red by 7.8
4930
#42
21.72.6
24.321.7
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End1.7
Second
3799
#25
20.51.5
19.120.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End2.5
blue by 0.8
3171
#44
21.32.6
24.021.3
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End0.2
Third
2340
#31
20.41.5
18.920.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End2.6
red by 7.9
8140
#36
12.52.6
15.112.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed