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Red59
964311.1
716527.5
201031.2
Blue127
962214.9
69558.5
559025.1
27%Model gave it73%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819820406012014059127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+64
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +53
9Coral scored#22
31Coral points80
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
45Total teleop98
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#6
1L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points0
59Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#16
31.21.9
32.330.4
Auto6.9
Teleop21.8
End2.5
blue by 27.3
695
#10
58.53.7
54.157.7
Auto13.3
Teleop42.1
End3.1
Second
7165
#40
27.51.9
29.427.5
Auto4.6
Teleop20.2
End2.7
red by 2.4
5590
#26
25.13.9
21.125.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.3
Third
9643
#38
11.11.8
12.911.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End1.4
blue by 3.9
9622
#47
14.93.7
11.314.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed