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Qual 782025 Finger Lakes Regional
Red117
63938.5
159143.5
686836.4
Blue147
225241.1
662126.9
140545.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241076080100140160180117147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+22
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#21
47Coral points76
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
24Processor points12
24Net points12
48Algae points24
95Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#9
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
117Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#32
43.50.4
41.1→41.5
Auto10.6
Teleop31.3
End1.5
blue by 1.8
1405
#8
45.34.6
40.1→44.7
Auto8.4
Teleop30.9
End6.0
Second
639
#18
38.50.5
34.2→34.7
Auto4.7
Teleop28.3
End5.5
blue by 2.5
2252
#33
41.15.0
37.3→42.3
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.7
Third
6868
#20
36.40.5
37.1→37.6
Auto5.3
Teleop29.4
End1.8
red by 9.5
6621
#15
26.94.6
21.7→26.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned