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Red75
839322.0
57813.6
824322.0
Blue181
461161.1
53323.5
19149.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6413805010015020075181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+90
Endgame+110
Fouls+106
AutonomousBlue +35
6Leave9
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points35
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +55
11Coral scored#24
38Coral points85
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
58Total teleop113
Reef
6L4#16
3L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#6
16Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +106
4Foul points0
75Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8393
#21
22.01.8
23.822.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End0.9
blue by 39.1
61.14.1
52.356.4
Auto15.6
Teleop39.8
End5.7
Second
8243
#30
22.01.9
23.922.0
Auto5.8
Teleop14.6
End1.5
blue by 27.0
191
#6
49.04.1
42.947.0
Auto14.6
Teleop29.2
End5.1
Third
578
#46
13.61.9
15.513.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End3.2
blue by 9.9
533
#23
23.54.4
19.123.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned