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Red92
222845.8
300337.6
318117.0
Blue102
158518.2
150748.2
155924.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11396608012014016092102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
60Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
92Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.80.4
42.642.2
Auto12.8
Teleop26.4
End6.6
blue by 2.4
1507
#19
48.21.6
46.047.6
Auto8.6
Teleop30.7
End8.9
Second
3003
#14
37.60.4
36.335.9
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.7
red by 13.4
1559
#17
24.21.6
22.624.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Third
3181
#39
17.00.4
17.417.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.7
End0.7
blue by 1.2
1585
#41
18.21.6
16.618.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned