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Red42
2299.4
588115.0
178747.1
Blue71
130823.2
300416.7
42438.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939160801001204271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +28
3Coral scored#8
12Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
22Total teleop50
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
42Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#28
47.14.5
49.745.2
Auto10.4
Teleop29.1
End7.6
red by 8.6
424
#5
38.41.7
39.437.7
Auto7.2
Teleop24.9
End6.4
Second
5881
#43
15.04.2
19.115.0
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End1.1
blue by 8.2
1308
#45
23.21.7
24.923.2
Auto4.0
Teleop18.1
End1.1
Third
229
#49
9.44.2
13.69.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End1.3
blue by 7.3
3004
#35
16.71.7
18.416.7
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed