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Red166
151151.3
317372.0
318119.3
Blue157
140546.2
42436.2
112629.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15999050200250166157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+23Teleop
+15Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
5Coral scored#3
25Coral points14
34Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
18Coral scored#24
64Coral points86
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
24Processor points6
28Net points12
52Algae points18
116Total teleop104
Reef
8L4#10
4L3#8
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points6
166Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.6
71.271.7
Auto16.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
red by 25.8
46.21.1
42.543.6
Auto9.0
Teleop30.7
End6.6
Second
51.30.6
50.451.0
Auto6.8
Teleop35.1
End9.4
red by 15.1
424
#7
36.21.1
32.433.5
Auto4.4
Teleop26.9
End4.9
Third
3181
#11
19.30.6
18.519.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.7
blue by 10.1
1126
#10
29.51.1
25.726.8
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End4.2