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Red160
301561.7
1022320.3
150755.6
Blue136
19141.5
383820.7
151835.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15691050200250160136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+6Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points29
33Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +2
20Coral scored#14
73Coral points51
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
91Total teleop89
Reef
9L4#9
9L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#28
BargeRed +18
36Cage & park18
36Total endgame18
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
160Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.5
61.762.2
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.8
red by 20.2
191
#12
41.50.9
40.341.2
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End1.6
Second
55.60.5
55.756.2
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End7.8
red by 20.1
1518
#13
35.60.9
34.435.3
Auto3.2
Teleop29.9
End2.4
Third
20.30.5
19.820.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End6.7
blue by 0.4
20.70.9
19.820.7
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End6.1