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Red91
379919.0
301561.7
150755.6
Blue168
151151.3
317372.0
318119.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15215410012014016018091168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+77
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
40Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +58
5Coral scored#19
17Coral points69
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
25Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#8
2L3#8
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +77
0Foul points26
91Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.71.0
62.261.2
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.8
blue by 10.4
72.00.0
71.771.7
Auto16.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
Second
55.61.0
56.255.1
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End7.8
red by 4.4
51.30.0
51.051.0
Auto6.8
Teleop35.1
End9.4
Third
19.01.0
19.618.5
Auto2.9
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 0.3
3181
#11
19.30.0
19.119.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.7