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Red107
19141.5
151835.6
493018.4
Blue160
140546.2
42436.2
112629.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99108050150107160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+37
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +33
16Coral scored#19
57Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
6Processor points12
8Net points24
14Algae points36
71Total teleop104
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +16
10Cage & park26
10Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
107Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#12
41.50.3
41.241.5
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End1.6
blue by 4.8
46.21.2
43.644.8
Auto9.0
Teleop30.7
End6.6
Second
1518
#13
35.60.3
35.335.6
Auto3.2
Teleop29.9
End2.4
blue by 0.6
424
#7
36.21.2
33.534.8
Auto4.4
Teleop26.9
End4.9
Third
4930
#14
18.40.3
18.118.4
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End1.6
blue by 11.1
1126
#10
29.51.2
26.828.1
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End4.2