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Red175
379919.0
301561.7
150755.6
Blue171
140546.2
42436.2
112629.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153107050200250300175171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points20
40Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +23
20Coral scored#19
73Coral points70
1Processor algae#4
5Net algae#7
6Processor points24
20Net points28
26Algae points52
99Total teleop122
Reef
13L4#8
6L3#6
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
175Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.9
61.262.1
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.8
red by 15.4
46.21.4
44.846.2
Auto9.0
Teleop30.7
End6.6
Second
55.60.9
55.156.0
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End7.8
red by 19.5
424
#7
36.21.4
34.836.2
Auto4.4
Teleop26.9
End4.9
Third
19.00.9
18.519.4
Auto2.9
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 10.4
1126
#10
29.51.4
28.129.5
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End4.2