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Red138
151151.3
317372.0
318119.3
Blue121
379919.0
301561.7
150755.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15415180100120140160180200138121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+21Teleop
+9Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave3
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points23
25Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +22
12Coral scored#13
43Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
9Net algae#3
12Processor points12
36Net points12
48Algae points24
91Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +17
8Foul points0
138Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.3
71.771.5
Auto16.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
red by 10.4
61.70.4
62.161.7
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.8
Second
51.30.3
51.050.7
Auto6.8
Teleop35.1
End9.4
blue by 4.4
55.60.4
56.055.7
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End7.8
Third
3181
#11
19.30.3
19.118.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.7
red by 0.3
19.00.4
19.419.1
Auto2.9
Teleop11.9
End4.1